Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns currently indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity typical of the monsoon season, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that may limit full solar heating. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, so the implied probabilities reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave conditions seen elsewhere in China. Recent short-range guidance shows cloudy-to-overcast skies and potential rain moderating the daily maximum, with 36°C holding the strongest market-implied odds at 44.5 percent as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in exact timing of convection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 45%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
34°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
20%
36°C
45%
37°C
27%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 45%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
34°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$464 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$180 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$169 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$520 Wol.
1%
33°C
$304 Wol.
2%
34°C
$230 Wol.
6%
35°C
$158 Wol.
20%
36°C
$439 Wol.
45%
37°C
$698 Wol.
27%
38°C
$314 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$68 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns currently indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity typical of the monsoon season, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that may limit full solar heating. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, so the implied probabilities reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave conditions seen elsewhere in China. Recent short-range guidance shows cloudy-to-overcast skies and potential rain moderating the daily maximum, with 36°C holding the strongest market-implied odds at 44.5 percent as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in exact timing of convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,547Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns currently indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity typical of the monsoon season, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that may limit full solar heating. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, so the implied probabilities reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave conditions seen elsewhere in China. Recent short-range guidance shows cloudy-to-overcast skies and potential rain moderating the daily maximum, with 36°C holding the strongest market-implied odds at 44.5 percent as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in exact timing of convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,547Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer patterns currently indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity typical of the monsoon season, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that may limit full solar heating. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, so the implied probabilities reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave conditions seen elsewhere in China. Recent short-range guidance shows cloudy-to-overcast skies and potential rain moderating the daily maximum, with 36°C holding the strongest market-implied odds at 44.5 percent as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in exact timing of convection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania