**Persistent marine layer influence and typical June climatology keep San Francisco's coastal temperatures moderated, with market-implied odds clustering around 68–71°F for the June 19 high.** National Weather Service discussions highlight a 1,000–1,500-foot-deep marine layer producing widespread morning stratus and fog that limits daytime heating along the immediate coast, while AccuWeather long-range guidance projects daily highs mostly in the 63–70°F range. This aligns with the June average high near 67°F at official stations and the strong historical preference for onshore flow and upwelling that prevents significant warming. Differentiation between the leading 68–69°F (29.5%) and 70–71°F (23.5%) buckets hinges on subtle model differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and any minor high-pressure ridging that could allow slightly more sun. Recent patterns show the layer re-forming nightly with only partial inland burn-off, supporting the tight probability spread and low odds for extremes above 74°F or below 64°F. Updated forecast runs and NHC/NOAA coastal observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 19?
68-69°F 34%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 16%
64-65°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 34%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 16%
64-65°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
61°F or below
$18 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$676 Wol.
5%
64-65°F
$25 Wol.
10%
66-67°F
$60 Wol.
16%
68-69°F
$34 Wol.
34%
70-71°F
$23 Wol.
27%
72-73°F
$384 Wol.
8%
74-75°F
$84 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$272 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$16 Wol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$57 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer influence and typical June climatology keep San Francisco's coastal temperatures moderated, with market-implied odds clustering around 68–71°F for the June 19 high.**
National Weather Service discussions highlight a 1,000–1,500-foot-deep marine layer producing widespread morning stratus and fog that limits daytime heating along the immediate coast, while AccuWeather long-range guidance projects daily highs mostly in the 63–70°F range. This aligns with the June average high near 67°F at official stations and the strong historical preference for onshore flow and upwelling that prevents significant warming.
Differentiation between the leading 68–69°F (29.5%) and 70–71°F (23.5%) buckets hinges on subtle model differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and any minor high-pressure ridging that could allow slightly more sun. Recent patterns show the layer re-forming nightly with only partial inland burn-off, supporting the tight probability spread and low odds for extremes above 74°F or below 64°F. Updated forecast runs and NHC/NOAA coastal observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,649Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 9:13 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer influence and typical June climatology keep San Francisco's coastal temperatures moderated, with market-implied odds clustering around 68–71°F for the June 19 high.**
National Weather Service discussions highlight a 1,000–1,500-foot-deep marine layer producing widespread morning stratus and fog that limits daytime heating along the immediate coast, while AccuWeather long-range guidance projects daily highs mostly in the 63–70°F range. This aligns with the June average high near 67°F at official stations and the strong historical preference for onshore flow and upwelling that prevents significant warming.
Differentiation between the leading 68–69°F (29.5%) and 70–71°F (23.5%) buckets hinges on subtle model differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and any minor high-pressure ridging that could allow slightly more sun. Recent patterns show the layer re-forming nightly with only partial inland burn-off, supporting the tight probability spread and low odds for extremes above 74°F or below 64°F. Updated forecast runs and NHC/NOAA coastal observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,649Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 9:13 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer influence and typical June climatology keep San Francisco's coastal temperatures moderated, with market-implied odds clustering around 68–71°F for the June 19 high.** National Weather Service discussions highlight a 1,000–1,500-foot-deep marine layer producing widespread morning stratus and fog that limits daytime heating along the immediate coast, while AccuWeather long-range guidance projects daily highs mostly in the 63–70°F range. This aligns with the June average high near 67°F at official stations and the strong historical preference for onshore flow and upwelling that prevents significant warming. Differentiation between the leading 68–69°F (29.5%) and 70–71°F (23.5%) buckets hinges on subtle model differences in marine-layer depth, afternoon clearing timing, and any minor high-pressure ridging that could allow slightly more sun. Recent patterns show the layer re-forming nightly with only partial inland burn-off, supporting the tight probability spread and low odds for extremes above 74°F or below 64°F. Updated forecast runs and NHC/NOAA coastal observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania