Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 31°C in Shanghai on June 11, aligning with the leading market-implied probability of 49.5% for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and humidity associated with the early meiyu (plum rain) season under the East Asian monsoon are moderating daytime heating, while light winds limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, with minor variations tied to precipitation timing and extent; historical June averages hover near 27–28°C but have trended higher in recent years under similar conditions. Updated guidance from agencies is expected throughout the day, with potential for slight revisions based on observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
31°C 57%
30°C 21%
32°C 19%
33°C 2.3%
$56,311 Wol.
$56,311 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
21%
31°C
57%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 57%
30°C 21%
32°C 19%
33°C 2.3%
$56,311 Wol.
$56,311 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
21%
31°C
57%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature near 31°C in Shanghai on June 11, aligning with the leading market-implied probability of 49.5% for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and humidity associated with the early meiyu (plum rain) season under the East Asian monsoon are moderating daytime heating, while light winds limit rapid warming or cooling. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, with minor variations tied to precipitation timing and extent; historical June averages hover near 27–28°C but have trended higher in recent years under similar conditions. Updated guidance from agencies is expected throughout the day, with potential for slight revisions based on observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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