**Overcast conditions with passing showers are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on June 11, 2026, keeping the official maximum temperature near 24°C.** Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models show a daily range of roughly 23–26°C under cloudy skies and moderate humidity (around 80%), with limited sunshine reducing surface warming compared to typical early-June values near 30–32°C. The market’s strong 81.8% weighting on exactly 24°C aligns with these conditions and any early observational data, while the much lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant clearing or intensification. Historical climatology indicates such cooler days occur when frontal activity or persistent cloud cover overrides seasonal warmth, and traders appear to be pricing the current synoptic setup and short-term model consensus accordingly. New observations or forecast updates from the Central Weather Administration will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 11?
24°C 81.8%
25°C 11%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
$47,733 Wol.
$47,733 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
82%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 81.8%
25°C 11%
26°C 7%
27°C <1%
$47,733 Wol.
$47,733 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
82%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Overcast conditions with passing showers are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on June 11, 2026, keeping the official maximum temperature near 24°C.** Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models show a daily range of roughly 23–26°C under cloudy skies and moderate humidity (around 80%), with limited sunshine reducing surface warming compared to typical early-June values near 30–32°C. The market’s strong 81.8% weighting on exactly 24°C aligns with these conditions and any early observational data, while the much lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant clearing or intensification. Historical climatology indicates such cooler days occur when frontal activity or persistent cloud cover overrides seasonal warmth, and traders appear to be pricing the current synoptic setup and short-term model consensus accordingly. New observations or forecast updates from the Central Weather Administration will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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