Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 72%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
75%
31°C or higher 72%
30°C 16%
29°C 4.0%
28°C 3.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
$419 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$413 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$413 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$419 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$163 Wol.
1%
26°C
$45 Wol.
1%
27°C
$63 Wol.
1%
28°C
$20 Wol.
3%
29°C
$21 Wol.
4%
30°C
$9 Wol.
16%
31°C or higher
$136 Wol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,021Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,021Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional numerical weather prediction systems points to a warming trend over eastern Shandong, with southerly flow and reduced marine moderation from the Yellow Sea supporting daytime maxima near or above 31°C for Qingdao on June 13. Ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover and modest warm-air advection ahead of a weak trough, elevating the potential for peak readings in the low 30s despite typical June coastal averages of 24–27°C. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer than climatology, consistent with broader northern China warmth patterns and helping drive the 76.5% market-implied odds for 31°C or higher. Key uncertainty remains in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, with final resolution depending on official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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