Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have positioned the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11 around 32°C, driving the leading market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. These projections align with typical early-June subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C amid high humidity and moderate southerly flow, without signals of extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus remains tight within this narrow band, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh historical June averages near 31–32°C against current guidance, with resolution hinging on official observational data by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
32°C 42%
33°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
NOWE
$30,787 Wol.
NOWE
$30,787 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
42%
33°C
27%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 11%
NOWE
$30,787 Wol.
NOWE
$30,787 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
$6,121 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,141 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$3,584 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,554 Wol.
3%
31°C
$1,962 Wol.
11%
32°C
$1,669 Wol.
42%
33°C
$1,207 Wol.
27%
34°C
$2,730 Wol.
16%
35°C
$2,488 Wol.
3%
36°C
$3,374 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$2,451 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have positioned the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11 around 32°C, driving the leading market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. These projections align with typical early-June subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C amid high humidity and moderate southerly flow, without signals of extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus remains tight within this narrow band, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh historical June averages near 31–32°C against current guidance, with resolution hinging on official observational data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,787Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have positioned the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11 around 32°C, driving the leading market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. These projections align with typical early-June subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C amid high humidity and moderate southerly flow, without signals of extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus remains tight within this narrow band, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh historical June averages near 31–32°C against current guidance, with resolution hinging on official observational data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30,787Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have positioned the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11 around 32°C, driving the leading market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. These projections align with typical early-June subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C amid high humidity and moderate southerly flow, without signals of extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus remains tight within this narrow band, though minor variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh historical June averages near 31–32°C against current guidance, with resolution hinging on official observational data by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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