Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 94°F on June 12 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's clustering around 90–93°F. This outlook reflects near-normal early-summer conditions across Central Texas, supported by recent rainfall that has limited heat dome formation and kept temperatures close to the 93°F monthly average. Model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and moisture, which explains the tight spread between the top two bins and lower probabilities for extremes above 96°F. Updated short-range runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift realized highs within the 2–3°F uncertainty range typical for such forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 12?
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
35%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
4%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
$103 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$96 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$145 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$129 Wol.
4%
88-89°F
$7 Wol.
11%
90-91°F
$80 Wol.
25%
92-93°F
$132 Wol.
35%
94-95°F
$22 Wol.
19%
96-97°F
$7 Wol.
11%
98-99°F
$17 Wol.
4%
100°F or higher
$42 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 94°F on June 12 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's clustering around 90–93°F. This outlook reflects near-normal early-summer conditions across Central Texas, supported by recent rainfall that has limited heat dome formation and kept temperatures close to the 93°F monthly average. Model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and moisture, which explains the tight spread between the top two bins and lower probabilities for extremes above 96°F. Updated short-range runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift realized highs within the 2–3°F uncertainty range typical for such forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$714Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 94°F on June 12 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's clustering around 90–93°F. This outlook reflects near-normal early-summer conditions across Central Texas, supported by recent rainfall that has limited heat dome formation and kept temperatures close to the 93°F monthly average. Model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and moisture, which explains the tight spread between the top two bins and lower probabilities for extremes above 96°F. Updated short-range runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift realized highs within the 2–3°F uncertainty range typical for such forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$714Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 94°F on June 12 under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's clustering around 90–93°F. This outlook reflects near-normal early-summer conditions across Central Texas, supported by recent rainfall that has limited heat dome formation and kept temperatures close to the 93°F monthly average. Model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and moisture, which explains the tight spread between the top two bins and lower probabilities for extremes above 96°F. Updated short-range runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift realized highs within the 2–3°F uncertainty range typical for such forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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