Current forecasts from National Weather Service normals and extended models indicate a high near 79–80°F for Chicago on June 12, aligning with the 80–81°F bin holding the strongest market-implied probability at 35.5%. June’s climatological average high sits at 79.6°F, and the broader seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal conditions across the Midwest, combined with limited cloud cover and modest southerly flow, supports the elevated odds on the 82–83°F range as a close second. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this date, though any strengthening high-pressure ridge or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher within the uncertainty typical of 24–48-hour temperature projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 12?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
67°F or below
$96 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$96 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$96 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$1 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$46 Wol.
9%
78-79°F
$108 Wol.
18%
80-81°F
$50 Wol.
35%
82-83°F
$17 Wol.
21%
84-85°F
$3 Wol.
12%
86°F or higher
$17 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service normals and extended models indicate a high near 79–80°F for Chicago on June 12, aligning with the 80–81°F bin holding the strongest market-implied probability at 35.5%. June’s climatological average high sits at 79.6°F, and the broader seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal conditions across the Midwest, combined with limited cloud cover and modest southerly flow, supports the elevated odds on the 82–83°F range as a close second. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this date, though any strengthening high-pressure ridge or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher within the uncertainty typical of 24–48-hour temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$461Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service normals and extended models indicate a high near 79–80°F for Chicago on June 12, aligning with the 80–81°F bin holding the strongest market-implied probability at 35.5%. June’s climatological average high sits at 79.6°F, and the broader seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal conditions across the Midwest, combined with limited cloud cover and modest southerly flow, supports the elevated odds on the 82–83°F range as a close second. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this date, though any strengthening high-pressure ridge or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher within the uncertainty typical of 24–48-hour temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$461Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from National Weather Service normals and extended models indicate a high near 79–80°F for Chicago on June 12, aligning with the 80–81°F bin holding the strongest market-implied probability at 35.5%. June’s climatological average high sits at 79.6°F, and the broader seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal conditions across the Midwest, combined with limited cloud cover and modest southerly flow, supports the elevated odds on the 82–83°F range as a close second. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this date, though any strengthening high-pressure ridge or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher within the uncertainty typical of 24–48-hour temperature projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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