Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 90s for New York City on June 12, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary and strong high pressure promoting subsidence warming. Heat advisories reflect forecast highs near 93°F with heat indices approaching 99°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap maximum readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between sustained warm advection and the timing of convective inhibition. Historical June climatology shows such setups frequently produce 90–95°F readings in the urban core, with minor shifts in model timing of moisture return able to alter the exact high by a few degrees before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on June 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
3%
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
$106 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$101 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$108 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$13 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$9 Wol.
3%
90-91°F
$134 Wol.
13%
92-93°F
$117 Wol.
29%
94-95°F
$342 Wol.
31%
96-97°F
$74 Wol.
23%
98-99°F
$50 Wol.
7%
100°F or higher
$418 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 90s for New York City on June 12, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary and strong high pressure promoting subsidence warming. Heat advisories reflect forecast highs near 93°F with heat indices approaching 99°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap maximum readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between sustained warm advection and the timing of convective inhibition. Historical June climatology shows such setups frequently produce 90–95°F readings in the urban core, with minor shifts in model timing of moisture return able to alter the exact high by a few degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,350Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 90s for New York City on June 12, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary and strong high pressure promoting subsidence warming. Heat advisories reflect forecast highs near 93°F with heat indices approaching 99°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap maximum readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between sustained warm advection and the timing of convective inhibition. Historical June climatology shows such setups frequently produce 90–95°F readings in the urban core, with minor shifts in model timing of moisture return able to alter the exact high by a few degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,350Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a peak temperature in the low-to-mid 90s for New York City on June 12, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary and strong high pressure promoting subsidence warming. Heat advisories reflect forecast highs near 93°F with heat indices approaching 99°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could cap maximum readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between sustained warm advection and the timing of convective inhibition. Historical June climatology shows such setups frequently produce 90–95°F readings in the urban core, with minor shifts in model timing of moisture return able to alter the exact high by a few degrees before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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