Official National Weather Service observations at the primary San Francisco recording station confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F on June 10, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. A transient ridge of high pressure suppressed the typical marine layer and coastal stratus, permitting greater solar heating under clear skies and light offshore flow; this deviated from June climatology, where average highs at the airport station run 67–70°F. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior converged on 75–78°F, aligning closely with the final verified reading. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-processing adjustments or station instrumentation discrepancies emerge, though historical precedent shows such changes rarely exceed 1°F for this location.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,087 Wol.
$84,087 Wol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,087 Wol.
$84,087 Wol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at the primary San Francisco recording station confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F on June 10, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. A transient ridge of high pressure suppressed the typical marine layer and coastal stratus, permitting greater solar heating under clear skies and light offshore flow; this deviated from June climatology, where average highs at the airport station run 67–70°F. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior converged on 75–78°F, aligning closely with the final verified reading. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-processing adjustments or station instrumentation discrepancies emerge, though historical precedent shows such changes rarely exceed 1°F for this location.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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