Trader consensus on Shenzhen's June 13 peak temperature clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration show modest warming from a strengthening subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover, offset by monsoon moisture and variable southerly flow. Recent observational trends indicate daytime highs sensitive to boundary-layer humidity and local urban heat retention, producing the observed 2-percentage-point edge for 30°C over 31°C. Model spread remains elevated two days ahead, with small shifts in wind patterns or afternoon convection capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs incorporating fresh surface data will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
29°C 14%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
29°C 14%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$20 Wol.
2%
28°C
$0 Wol.
9%
29°C
$0 Wol.
14%
30°C
$0 Wol.
31%
31°C
$0 Wol.
28%
32°C
$2 Wol.
7%
33°C
$0 Wol.
6%
34°C
$51 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$73 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Shenzhen's June 13 peak temperature clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration show modest warming from a strengthening subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover, offset by monsoon moisture and variable southerly flow. Recent observational trends indicate daytime highs sensitive to boundary-layer humidity and local urban heat retention, producing the observed 2-percentage-point edge for 30°C over 31°C. Model spread remains elevated two days ahead, with small shifts in wind patterns or afternoon convection capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs incorporating fresh surface data will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Wolumen
$145Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Shenzhen's June 13 peak temperature clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration show modest warming from a strengthening subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover, offset by monsoon moisture and variable southerly flow. Recent observational trends indicate daytime highs sensitive to boundary-layer humidity and local urban heat retention, producing the observed 2-percentage-point edge for 30°C over 31°C. Model spread remains elevated two days ahead, with small shifts in wind patterns or afternoon convection capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs incorporating fresh surface data will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$145Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Shenzhen's June 13 peak temperature clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration show modest warming from a strengthening subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover, offset by monsoon moisture and variable southerly flow. Recent observational trends indicate daytime highs sensitive to boundary-layer humidity and local urban heat retention, producing the observed 2-percentage-point edge for 30°C over 31°C. Model spread remains elevated two days ahead, with small shifts in wind patterns or afternoon convection capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs incorporating fresh surface data will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania