**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 13 maximum temperature centers on 25–27°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting JMA guidance showing nearby days peaking near 26°C under mostly cloudy conditions amid the early tsuyu rainy season.** A strengthening Pacific High is expected to deliver above-normal warmth for summer 2026 overall, yet persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on the 13th are likely to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any breaks in cloudiness, wind patterns modulating urban heat-island effects, and moisture advection from the Pacific—all of which keep model consensus tightly clustered. With resolution just two days away, fresh JMA updates on cloud trends and any short-term pressure adjustments will be the main drivers shifting probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
28%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
21°C or below
$532 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$338 Wol.
1%
23°C
$49 Wol.
2%
24°C
$25 Wol.
6%
25°C
$315 Wol.
27%
26°C
$137 Wol.
30%
27°C
$86 Wol.
28%
28°C
$195 Wol.
8%
29°C
$21 Wol.
4%
30°C
$52 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$11 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 13 maximum temperature centers on 25–27°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting JMA guidance showing nearby days peaking near 26°C under mostly cloudy conditions amid the early tsuyu rainy season.**
A strengthening Pacific High is expected to deliver above-normal warmth for summer 2026 overall, yet persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on the 13th are likely to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any breaks in cloudiness, wind patterns modulating urban heat-island effects, and moisture advection from the Pacific—all of which keep model consensus tightly clustered. With resolution just two days away, fresh JMA updates on cloud trends and any short-term pressure adjustments will be the main drivers shifting probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,761Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 13 maximum temperature centers on 25–27°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting JMA guidance showing nearby days peaking near 26°C under mostly cloudy conditions amid the early tsuyu rainy season.**
A strengthening Pacific High is expected to deliver above-normal warmth for summer 2026 overall, yet persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on the 13th are likely to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any breaks in cloudiness, wind patterns modulating urban heat-island effects, and moisture advection from the Pacific—all of which keep model consensus tightly clustered. With resolution just two days away, fresh JMA updates on cloud trends and any short-term pressure adjustments will be the main drivers shifting probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,761Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 13 maximum temperature centers on 25–27°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting JMA guidance showing nearby days peaking near 26°C under mostly cloudy conditions amid the early tsuyu rainy season.** A strengthening Pacific High is expected to deliver above-normal warmth for summer 2026 overall, yet persistent cloud cover and scattered showers on the 13th are likely to limit solar heating and cap daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any breaks in cloudiness, wind patterns modulating urban heat-island effects, and moisture advection from the Pacific—all of which keep model consensus tightly clustered. With resolution just two days away, fresh JMA updates on cloud trends and any short-term pressure adjustments will be the main drivers shifting probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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