Recent ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread for Moscow's June 13 maximum, centered on 26–28°C, with partial cloud cover and isolated thundershowers limiting peak insolation. Recent warm advection has produced observed highs near 30°C on June 10, yet an approaching weak frontal boundary introduces variability in boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight. This uncertainty—amplified by differing convective parameterization schemes across models—explains the market's tight clustering around 27°C (28.0%) and 26°C (20.5%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated 12z model guidance and local observations will further refine resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
27°C 28%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
15%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
26°C 21%
28°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
$320 Wol.
1%
23°C
$30 Wol.
3%
24°C
$30 Wol.
4%
25°C
$561 Wol.
8%
26°C
$55 Wol.
21%
27°C
$8 Wol.
28%
28°C
$55 Wol.
15%
29°C
$0 Wol.
12%
30°C
$5 Wol.
6%
31°C
$42 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$30 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread for Moscow's June 13 maximum, centered on 26–28°C, with partial cloud cover and isolated thundershowers limiting peak insolation. Recent warm advection has produced observed highs near 30°C on June 10, yet an approaching weak frontal boundary introduces variability in boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight. This uncertainty—amplified by differing convective parameterization schemes across models—explains the market's tight clustering around 27°C (28.0%) and 26°C (20.5%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated 12z model guidance and local observations will further refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,136Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread for Moscow's June 13 maximum, centered on 26–28°C, with partial cloud cover and isolated thundershowers limiting peak insolation. Recent warm advection has produced observed highs near 30°C on June 10, yet an approaching weak frontal boundary introduces variability in boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight. This uncertainty—amplified by differing convective parameterization schemes across models—explains the market's tight clustering around 27°C (28.0%) and 26°C (20.5%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated 12z model guidance and local observations will further refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,136Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread for Moscow's June 13 maximum, centered on 26–28°C, with partial cloud cover and isolated thundershowers limiting peak insolation. Recent warm advection has produced observed highs near 30°C on June 10, yet an approaching weak frontal boundary introduces variability in boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight. This uncertainty—amplified by differing convective parameterization schemes across models—explains the market's tight clustering around 27°C (28.0%) and 26°C (20.5%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated 12z model guidance and local observations will further refine resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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