Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 91%
15°C 9%
16°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
NOWE
$47,422 Wol.
NOWE
$47,422 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
91%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 91%
15°C 9%
16°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
NOWE
$47,422 Wol.
NOWE
$47,422 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
$317 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$311 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$2,590 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$6,095 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$15,901 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$7,442 Wol.
91%
15°C
$6,148 Wol.
9%
16°C
$7,335 Wol.
1%
17°C
$3,670 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$615 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,422Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,422Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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