Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
1%
25°C
$45 Wol.
2%
26°C
$60 Wol.
9%
27°C
$11 Wol.
10%
28°C
$0 Wol.
15%
29°C
$0 Wol.
21%
30°C
$0 Wol.
22%
31°C
$52 Wol.
14%
32°C
$20 Wol.
11%
33°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$198Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$198Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen highs near 30–31°C on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, possible scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that could limit afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover or brief cooling. A developing super El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies already exceeding +2°C, contributes to broader seasonal warmth across southern China but introduces variability in timing and intensity of convective activity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C because resolution hinges on precise maximum readings amid these marginal differences in insolation and moisture, rather than larger shifts in the underlying synoptic pattern. Updated NMC and international model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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