Recent observational data from Shenzhen stations show overnight temperatures falling to 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–9 mph and humidity near 70–85%. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates limited further cooling due to residual heat from the urban heat island effect and elevated dew points around 21–23°C, which slow radiative losses. The narrow split between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized microclimate variations before sunrise on September 4. Updated hourly readings and any late-night cloud breaks could shift the final recorded low by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
25°C 47%
22°C 3%
24°C 3%
20°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
47%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
22°C 3%
24°C 3%
20°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$40 Wol.
1%
21°C
$57 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$147 Wol.
3%
23°C
$157 Wol.
1%
24°C
$151 Wol.
3%
25°C
$0 Wol.
47%
26°C
$158 Wol.
52%
27°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$85 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$151 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$156 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Shenzhen stations show overnight temperatures falling to 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–9 mph and humidity near 70–85%. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates limited further cooling due to residual heat from the urban heat island effect and elevated dew points around 21–23°C, which slow radiative losses. The narrow split between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized microclimate variations before sunrise on September 4. Updated hourly readings and any late-night cloud breaks could shift the final recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,249Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Shenzhen stations show overnight temperatures falling to 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–9 mph and humidity near 70–85%. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates limited further cooling due to residual heat from the urban heat island effect and elevated dew points around 21–23°C, which slow radiative losses. The narrow split between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized microclimate variations before sunrise on September 4. Updated hourly readings and any late-night cloud breaks could shift the final recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,249Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Shenzhen stations show overnight temperatures falling to 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 5–9 mph and humidity near 70–85%. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates limited further cooling due to residual heat from the urban heat island effect and elevated dew points around 21–23°C, which slow radiative losses. The narrow split between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized microclimate variations before sunrise on September 4. Updated hourly readings and any late-night cloud breaks could shift the final recorded low by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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