Israel Meteorological Service and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under stable late-summer high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits heat advection from inland areas. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, reinforced by recent observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no significant synoptic changes expected before the 21st. Trader positioning reflects these forecasts, with 33°C dominating implied probabilities while 34°C captures upside risk from slight model spreads or localized warming. Updated guidance from official sources ahead of resolution will be the next key input.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel Meteorological Service and international model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under stable late-summer high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits heat advection from inland areas. This aligns with typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, reinforced by recent observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no significant synoptic changes expected before the 21st. Trader positioning reflects these forecasts, with 33°C dominating implied probabilities while 34°C captures upside risk from slight model spreads or localized warming. Updated guidance from official sources ahead of resolution will be the next key input.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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