Recent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 14%
31°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 14%
31°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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