Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Wol.
$14,640 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
0
30%
1
41%
2
26%
3
6%
4
4%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Wol.
$14,640 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
0
$5,340 Wol.
30%
1
$1,380 Wol.
41%
2
$851 Wol.
26%
3
$963 Wol.
6%
4
$1,564 Wol.
4%
5
$1,422 Wol.
<1%
>5
$3,119 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,640Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Wolumen
$14,640Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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