**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary—securing 100% of the vote—has reinforced his commanding position against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, the 2022 election challenger who won a fragmented GOP primary with 53%. Polling averages show Pritzker leading by around 20 points (54-34%), consistent with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois' deep-blue electorate, Chicago's dominance, and Pritzker's incumbency advantages amid steady approval ratings near 52%. Recent Republican efforts, like Bailey's April attempts to distance from MAGA rhetoric and relocate to Chicago, have failed to narrow the gap. While trader consensus implies 92.5% for Democrat victory on November 3, a major scandal, economic shock, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor incumbents in such lopsided states.**
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,866 Wol.
93%
Republican
$2,658 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary—securing 100% of the vote—has reinforced his commanding position against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, the 2022 election challenger who won a fragmented GOP primary with 53%. Polling averages show Pritzker leading by around 20 points (54-34%), consistent with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois' deep-blue electorate, Chicago's dominance, and Pritzker's incumbency advantages amid steady approval ratings near 52%. Recent Republican efforts, like Bailey's April attempts to distance from MAGA rhetoric and relocate to Chicago, have failed to narrow the gap. While trader consensus implies 92.5% for Democrat victory on November 3, a major scandal, economic shock, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor incumbents in such lopsided states.**
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,524Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary—securing 100% of the vote—has reinforced his commanding position against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, the 2022 election challenger who won a fragmented GOP primary with 53%. Polling averages show Pritzker leading by around 20 points (54-34%), consistent with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois' deep-blue electorate, Chicago's dominance, and Pritzker's incumbency advantages amid steady approval ratings near 52%. Recent Republican efforts, like Bailey's April attempts to distance from MAGA rhetoric and relocate to Chicago, have failed to narrow the gap. While trader consensus implies 92.5% for Democrat victory on November 3, a major scandal, economic shock, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor incumbents in such lopsided states.**
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$4,524Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17, 2026, primary—securing 100% of the vote—has reinforced his commanding position against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, the 2022 election challenger who won a fragmented GOP primary with 53%. Polling averages show Pritzker leading by around 20 points (54-34%), consistent with race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting Illinois' deep-blue electorate, Chicago's dominance, and Pritzker's incumbency advantages amid steady approval ratings near 52%. Recent Republican efforts, like Bailey's April attempts to distance from MAGA rhetoric and relocate to Chicago, have failed to narrow the gap. While trader consensus implies 92.5% for Democrat victory on November 3, a major scandal, economic shock, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though historical precedents favor incumbents in such lopsided states.**
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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