Recent Iranian statements have underscored the competitive balance in trader assessments of whether Tehran will commit to ending uranium enrichment by year's end. On May 11, senior IRGC and Atomic Energy Organization officials declared nuclear enrichment and related technology non-negotiable while listing preconditions including sanctions relief and an end to military pressure before any further talks. These positions offset earlier May counterproposals that floated temporary pauses, downblending of stockpiles, or phased discussions on limits in exchange for eased restrictions. The closely divided trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic channels, mediated through Oman and others, can produce verifiable commitments before December 31 amid persistent gaps on facility dismantlement and long-term restrictions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$194,991 Wol.
$194,991 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$194,991 Wol.
$194,991 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent Iranian statements have underscored the competitive balance in trader assessments of whether Tehran will commit to ending uranium enrichment by year's end. On May 11, senior IRGC and Atomic Energy Organization officials declared nuclear enrichment and related technology non-negotiable while listing preconditions including sanctions relief and an end to military pressure before any further talks. These positions offset earlier May counterproposals that floated temporary pauses, downblending of stockpiles, or phased discussions on limits in exchange for eased restrictions. The closely divided trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic channels, mediated through Oman and others, can produce verifiable commitments before December 31 amid persistent gaps on facility dismantlement and long-term restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$194,991Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent Iranian statements have underscored the competitive balance in trader assessments of whether Tehran will commit to ending uranium enrichment by year's end. On May 11, senior IRGC and Atomic Energy Organization officials declared nuclear enrichment and related technology non-negotiable while listing preconditions including sanctions relief and an end to military pressure before any further talks. These positions offset earlier May counterproposals that floated temporary pauses, downblending of stockpiles, or phased discussions on limits in exchange for eased restrictions. The closely divided trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic channels, mediated through Oman and others, can produce verifiable commitments before December 31 amid persistent gaps on facility dismantlement and long-term restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$194,991Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Iranian statements have underscored the competitive balance in trader assessments of whether Tehran will commit to ending uranium enrichment by year's end. On May 11, senior IRGC and Atomic Energy Organization officials declared nuclear enrichment and related technology non-negotiable while listing preconditions including sanctions relief and an end to military pressure before any further talks. These positions offset earlier May counterproposals that floated temporary pauses, downblending of stockpiles, or phased discussions on limits in exchange for eased restrictions. The closely divided trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether diplomatic channels, mediated through Oman and others, can produce verifiable commitments before December 31 amid persistent gaps on facility dismantlement and long-term restrictions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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