The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s economic-focused list, has produced inconsistent polling results near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys show the slate at or above the threshold in some cases (projecting four seats) while falling to 1–3% in others, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and competition from other new parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael. The party’s emphasis on universal conscription and cost-of-living measures positions it as a potential non-aligned factor in bloc negotiations, yet its limited name recognition and overlap with established center-right voters contribute to the wide distribution of trader probabilities across narrow vote-share bands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<2.75% 36%
4.25%+ 33%
2.75-3.25% 23%
3.25-3.75% 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
37%
2.75-3.25%
23%
3.25-3.75%
22%
3.75-4.25%
17%
4.25%+
33%
<2.75% 36%
4.25%+ 33%
2.75-3.25% 23%
3.25-3.75% 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
$100 Wol.
37%
2.75-3.25%
$40 Wol.
23%
3.25-3.75%
$44 Wol.
22%
3.75-4.25%
$37 Wol.
17%
4.25%+
$48 Wol.
33%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s economic-focused list, has produced inconsistent polling results near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys show the slate at or above the threshold in some cases (projecting four seats) while falling to 1–3% in others, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and competition from other new parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael. The party’s emphasis on universal conscription and cost-of-living measures positions it as a potential non-aligned factor in bloc negotiations, yet its limited name recognition and overlap with established center-right voters contribute to the wide distribution of trader probabilities across narrow vote-share bands.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s economic-focused list, has produced inconsistent polling results near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys show the slate at or above the threshold in some cases (projecting four seats) while falling to 1–3% in others, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and competition from other new parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael. The party’s emphasis on universal conscription and cost-of-living measures positions it as a potential non-aligned factor in bloc negotiations, yet its limited name recognition and overlap with established center-right voters contribute to the wide distribution of trader probabilities across narrow vote-share bands.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s economic-focused list, has produced inconsistent polling results near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys show the slate at or above the threshold in some cases (projecting four seats) while falling to 1–3% in others, reflecting volatility following candidate-list finalization and competition from other new parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael. The party’s emphasis on universal conscription and cost-of-living measures positions it as a potential non-aligned factor in bloc negotiations, yet its limited name recognition and overlap with established center-right voters contribute to the wide distribution of trader probabilities across narrow vote-share bands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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