**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and the Ssangbangwool remittances matter, with courts citing protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution.** The Democratic Party’s legislative efforts to establish special-counsel review or cancel prior indictments, combined with police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence, reinforce the procedural barriers to arrest. Recent statements from Justice Minister nominee Kim Seung-won further underscore that the position lacks direct authority to withdraw indictments and that he has no intent to direct the prosecutor general on the matter. These factors, alongside Lee’s continued exercise of executive authority through August 2026, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 remains improbable absent major shifts in court rulings or legislative outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% szansa
$540,003 Wol.
$540,003 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$540,003 Wol.
$540,003 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and the Ssangbangwool remittances matter, with courts citing protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution.** The Democratic Party’s legislative efforts to establish special-counsel review or cancel prior indictments, combined with police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence, reinforce the procedural barriers to arrest. Recent statements from Justice Minister nominee Kim Seung-won further underscore that the position lacks direct authority to withdraw indictments and that he has no intent to direct the prosecutor general on the matter. These factors, alongside Lee’s continued exercise of executive authority through August 2026, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 remains improbable absent major shifts in court rulings or legislative outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$540,003Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and the Ssangbangwool remittances matter, with courts citing protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution.** The Democratic Party’s legislative efforts to establish special-counsel review or cancel prior indictments, combined with police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence, reinforce the procedural barriers to arrest. Recent statements from Justice Minister nominee Kim Seung-won further underscore that the position lacks direct authority to withdraw indictments and that he has no intent to direct the prosecutor general on the matter. These factors, alongside Lee’s continued exercise of executive authority through August 2026, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 remains improbable absent major shifts in court rulings or legislative outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$540,003Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all five pending criminal cases, including election-law violations, development-project corruption allegations, and the Ssangbangwool remittances matter, with courts citing protections that shield sitting presidents from prosecution.** The Democratic Party’s legislative efforts to establish special-counsel review or cancel prior indictments, combined with police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence, reinforce the procedural barriers to arrest. Recent statements from Justice Minister nominee Kim Seung-won further underscore that the position lacks direct authority to withdraw indictments and that he has no intent to direct the prosecutor general on the matter. These factors, alongside Lee’s continued exercise of executive authority through August 2026, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 remains improbable absent major shifts in court rulings or legislative outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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