South Korea’s National Assembly remains under firm Democratic Party control following the 2024 legislative elections and the party’s strong performance in the June 2026 local contests, creating a high procedural barrier to any impeachment vote. President Lee Jae-myung’s first year in office has featured no formal legislative moves or sustained opposition momentum capable of securing the required two-thirds majority. A June 2026 citizens’ petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing ongoing legal cases, yet the assembly’s majority party structure has kept the measure from advancing. Lee’s approval ratings, while dipping below 50 percent amid ballot-shortage fallout, remain within historical ranges for a sitting president and have not translated into cross-party support for removal. Traders therefore price a low probability of formal impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
7% szansa
$19,133 Wol.
$19,133 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$19,133 Wol.
$19,133 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s National Assembly remains under firm Democratic Party control following the 2024 legislative elections and the party’s strong performance in the June 2026 local contests, creating a high procedural barrier to any impeachment vote. President Lee Jae-myung’s first year in office has featured no formal legislative moves or sustained opposition momentum capable of securing the required two-thirds majority. A June 2026 citizens’ petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing ongoing legal cases, yet the assembly’s majority party structure has kept the measure from advancing. Lee’s approval ratings, while dipping below 50 percent amid ballot-shortage fallout, remain within historical ranges for a sitting president and have not translated into cross-party support for removal. Traders therefore price a low probability of formal impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,133Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s National Assembly remains under firm Democratic Party control following the 2024 legislative elections and the party’s strong performance in the June 2026 local contests, creating a high procedural barrier to any impeachment vote. President Lee Jae-myung’s first year in office has featured no formal legislative moves or sustained opposition momentum capable of securing the required two-thirds majority. A June 2026 citizens’ petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing ongoing legal cases, yet the assembly’s majority party structure has kept the measure from advancing. Lee’s approval ratings, while dipping below 50 percent amid ballot-shortage fallout, remain within historical ranges for a sitting president and have not translated into cross-party support for removal. Traders therefore price a low probability of formal impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$19,133Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s National Assembly remains under firm Democratic Party control following the 2024 legislative elections and the party’s strong performance in the June 2026 local contests, creating a high procedural barrier to any impeachment vote. President Lee Jae-myung’s first year in office has featured no formal legislative moves or sustained opposition momentum capable of securing the required two-thirds majority. A June 2026 citizens’ petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing ongoing legal cases, yet the assembly’s majority party structure has kept the measure from advancing. Lee’s approval ratings, while dipping below 50 percent amid ballot-shortage fallout, remain within historical ranges for a sitting president and have not translated into cross-party support for removal. Traders therefore price a low probability of formal impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania