Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a frontal system approaching Ankara on September 16–17, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered between 13–16 °C, consistent with the tight market distribution around those levels. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 12–14 °C under clearer conditions, but the expected moisture and reduced outgoing longwave radiation raise the floor. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with some runs favoring 13 °C amid heavier rain and others 15–16 °C under partial clearing; the next high-resolution updates and 00Z/12Z cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
4%
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
9%
12°C
$0 Wol.
11%
13°C
$0 Wol.
22%
14°C
$0 Wol.
22%
15°C
$0 Wol.
22%
16°C
$0 Wol.
21%
17°C
$0 Wol.
19%
18°C
$0 Wol.
11%
19°C
$0 Wol.
7%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a frontal system approaching Ankara on September 16–17, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered between 13–16 °C, consistent with the tight market distribution around those levels. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 12–14 °C under clearer conditions, but the expected moisture and reduced outgoing longwave radiation raise the floor. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with some runs favoring 13 °C amid heavier rain and others 15–16 °C under partial clearing; the next high-resolution updates and 00Z/12Z cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a frontal system approaching Ankara on September 16–17, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered between 13–16 °C, consistent with the tight market distribution around those levels. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 12–14 °C under clearer conditions, but the expected moisture and reduced outgoing longwave radiation raise the floor. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with some runs favoring 13 °C amid heavier rain and others 15–16 °C under partial clearing; the next high-resolution updates and 00Z/12Z cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a frontal system approaching Ankara on September 16–17, bringing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered between 13–16 °C, consistent with the tight market distribution around those levels. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 12–14 °C under clearer conditions, but the expected moisture and reduced outgoing longwave radiation raise the floor. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty, with some runs favoring 13 °C amid heavier rain and others 15–16 °C under partial clearing; the next high-resolution updates and 00Z/12Z cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania