**Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a clear, calm night over Beijing on September 12, with a minimum near 11°C following daytime highs of 28°C.** Light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, potentially pushing the low toward or below 10°C in sheltered urban or suburban locations. Historical September 12 averages near 16.9°C and the all-time low of 9.5°C provide context, yet current model consensus clusters around 11–14°C. This narrow range and residual forecast spread—particularly regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing—explain the near-even market split between the sub-10°C and 20°C+ buckets alongside elevated probabilities on the 13–14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 48 hours will likely resolve much of the uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
10°C or below 97%
20°C or higher 93%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
97%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
25%
15°C
24%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
93%
10°C or below 97%
20°C or higher 93%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
97%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
39%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
25%
15°C
$0 Wol.
24%
16°C
$0 Wol.
39%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$218 Wol.
19%
20°C or higher
$10 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a clear, calm night over Beijing on September 12, with a minimum near 11°C following daytime highs of 28°C.** Light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, potentially pushing the low toward or below 10°C in sheltered urban or suburban locations. Historical September 12 averages near 16.9°C and the all-time low of 9.5°C provide context, yet current model consensus clusters around 11–14°C. This narrow range and residual forecast spread—particularly regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing—explain the near-even market split between the sub-10°C and 20°C+ buckets alongside elevated probabilities on the 13–14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 48 hours will likely resolve much of the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$228Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a clear, calm night over Beijing on September 12, with a minimum near 11°C following daytime highs of 28°C.** Light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, potentially pushing the low toward or below 10°C in sheltered urban or suburban locations. Historical September 12 averages near 16.9°C and the all-time low of 9.5°C provide context, yet current model consensus clusters around 11–14°C. This narrow range and residual forecast spread—particularly regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing—explain the near-even market split between the sub-10°C and 20°C+ buckets alongside elevated probabilities on the 13–14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 48 hours will likely resolve much of the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$228Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a clear, calm night over Beijing on September 12, with a minimum near 11°C following daytime highs of 28°C.** Light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling, potentially pushing the low toward or below 10°C in sheltered urban or suburban locations. Historical September 12 averages near 16.9°C and the all-time low of 9.5°C provide context, yet current model consensus clusters around 11–14°C. This narrow range and residual forecast spread—particularly regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing—explain the near-even market split between the sub-10°C and 20°C+ buckets alongside elevated probabilities on the 13–14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 48 hours will likely resolve much of the uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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