**Forecast models for Beijing on September 16, 2026, show a mostly clear night with light southerly to variable winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 15–16°C.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs cluster in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where dew-point temperatures and boundary-layer mixing determine how far the mercury falls before sunrise. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover or wind gusts—often just 1–2 m/s or 10–20% cloud fraction—separate a 14°C outcome from 16°C, as even modest increases in mixing or moisture can limit overnight cooling by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal systems or precipitation expected, traders see balanced probabilities across 14–16°C because current model spreads encompass all three thresholds without a dominant signal. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine the exact low as the night approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
14°C 90%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
7%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
90%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 90%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
7%
12°C
$20 Wol.
18%
13°C
$0 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
90%
15°C
$0 Wol.
50%
16°C
$0 Wol.
50%
17°C
$146 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$16 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Beijing on September 16, 2026, show a mostly clear night with light southerly to variable winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 15–16°C.**
Official guidance and ensemble outputs cluster in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where dew-point temperatures and boundary-layer mixing determine how far the mercury falls before sunrise. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover or wind gusts—often just 1–2 m/s or 10–20% cloud fraction—separate a 14°C outcome from 16°C, as even modest increases in mixing or moisture can limit overnight cooling by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal systems or precipitation expected, traders see balanced probabilities across 14–16°C because current model spreads encompass all three thresholds without a dominant signal. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine the exact low as the night approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$404Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Beijing on September 16, 2026, show a mostly clear night with light southerly to variable winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 15–16°C.**
Official guidance and ensemble outputs cluster in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where dew-point temperatures and boundary-layer mixing determine how far the mercury falls before sunrise. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover or wind gusts—often just 1–2 m/s or 10–20% cloud fraction—separate a 14°C outcome from 16°C, as even modest increases in mixing or moisture can limit overnight cooling by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal systems or precipitation expected, traders see balanced probabilities across 14–16°C because current model spreads encompass all three thresholds without a dominant signal. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine the exact low as the night approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$404Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Beijing on September 16, 2026, show a mostly clear night with light southerly to variable winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 15–16°C.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs cluster in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where dew-point temperatures and boundary-layer mixing determine how far the mercury falls before sunrise. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover or wind gusts—often just 1–2 m/s or 10–20% cloud fraction—separate a 14°C outcome from 16°C, as even modest increases in mixing or moisture can limit overnight cooling by 1–2°C. With no strong frontal systems or precipitation expected, traders see balanced probabilities across 14–16°C because current model spreads encompass all three thresholds without a dominant signal. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine the exact low as the night approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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