Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest wind shift and scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 14, with the overnight minimum likely near 14–15 °C as a frontal boundary passes. This transitional pattern—mild Atlantic air mixing with cooler, moister flow—keeps the lowest temperature from falling to the seasonal average of ~10 °C while also limiting daytime highs below 20 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range: equal weighting on 10 °C or below versus 20 °C or higher captures the spread in model guidance for timing and strength of the wind shift, while mid-teens outcomes align with the current consensus minimum. Updated runs from regional and global models will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or clearer skies alter the overnight low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 14?
10°C or below 76%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
76%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
22%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
9%
10°C or below 76%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
76%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
39%
13°C
$0 Wol.
22%
14°C
$0 Wol.
24%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
21%
17°C
$0 Wol.
8%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C or higher
$40 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest wind shift and scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 14, with the overnight minimum likely near 14–15 °C as a frontal boundary passes. This transitional pattern—mild Atlantic air mixing with cooler, moister flow—keeps the lowest temperature from falling to the seasonal average of ~10 °C while also limiting daytime highs below 20 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range: equal weighting on 10 °C or below versus 20 °C or higher captures the spread in model guidance for timing and strength of the wind shift, while mid-teens outcomes align with the current consensus minimum. Updated runs from regional and global models will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or clearer skies alter the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest wind shift and scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 14, with the overnight minimum likely near 14–15 °C as a frontal boundary passes. This transitional pattern—mild Atlantic air mixing with cooler, moister flow—keeps the lowest temperature from falling to the seasonal average of ~10 °C while also limiting daytime highs below 20 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range: equal weighting on 10 °C or below versus 20 °C or higher captures the spread in model guidance for timing and strength of the wind shift, while mid-teens outcomes align with the current consensus minimum. Updated runs from regional and global models will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or clearer skies alter the overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest wind shift and scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 14, with the overnight minimum likely near 14–15 °C as a frontal boundary passes. This transitional pattern—mild Atlantic air mixing with cooler, moister flow—keeps the lowest temperature from falling to the seasonal average of ~10 °C while also limiting daytime highs below 20 °C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range: equal weighting on 10 °C or below versus 20 °C or higher captures the spread in model guidance for timing and strength of the wind shift, while mid-teens outcomes align with the current consensus minimum. Updated runs from regional and global models will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or clearer skies alter the overnight low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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