Recent forecasts from multiple models show the overnight low in Chengdu on August 28 centered between 23–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 70–90%, which limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Cloud cover and rainfall timing create the tight spread in trader sentiment, as heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the minimum toward 23–24°C while clearer intervals might allow 25–26°C. These outcomes align with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where monsoon moisture and weak steering winds produce modest day-to-day variability; updated CMA or ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow 2–3°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
26°C 47%
22°C 3.0%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
26°C 47%
22°C 3.0%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show the overnight low in Chengdu on August 28 centered between 23–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 70–90%, which limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Cloud cover and rainfall timing create the tight spread in trader sentiment, as heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the minimum toward 23–24°C while clearer intervals might allow 25–26°C. These outcomes align with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where monsoon moisture and weak steering winds produce modest day-to-day variability; updated CMA or ECMWF runs expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow 2–3°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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