Traders see closely matched odds between a 15°C low (50%) and 12°C or below (45%) for Jinan on September 12 because official forecasts show overnight minimums near 17–21°C amid typical early-autumn conditions, with model runs diverging on radiational cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds. National meteorological guidance highlights a daytime high near 29–30°C dropping after sunset, consistent with September climatology where lows average 17°C but can dip several degrees lower with calm conditions and dry air. Key variables include exact timing of the minimum, urban heat-island effects at monitoring stations, and any late revisions from updated model ensembles. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum from authoritative Chinese weather services.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jinan on September 12?
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
12°C or below
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
12°C or below
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds between a 15°C low (50%) and 12°C or below (45%) for Jinan on September 12 because official forecasts show overnight minimums near 17–21°C amid typical early-autumn conditions, with model runs diverging on radiational cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds. National meteorological guidance highlights a daytime high near 29–30°C dropping after sunset, consistent with September climatology where lows average 17°C but can dip several degrees lower with calm conditions and dry air. Key variables include exact timing of the minimum, urban heat-island effects at monitoring stations, and any late revisions from updated model ensembles. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum from authoritative Chinese weather services.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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