Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a mild autumn pattern over central Poland, with a weak pressure gradient and light southwesterly flow supporting a daily maximum near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14. Light showers or variable cloud cover may temper peak heating but are unlikely to suppress temperatures below 18°C or allow a surge above 21°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21°C and 19°C. Historical mid-September averages for Warsaw hover around 16–18°C, making the current outlook slightly above normal. Final resolution will depend on official observations once the day concludes, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
20°C 45%
21°C 25%
19°C 23%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
23%
20°C
45%
21°C
25%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 45%
21°C 25%
19°C 23%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$237 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$142 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$348 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$97 Wol.
1%
17°C
$153 Wol.
2%
18°C
$156 Wol.
4%
19°C
$1,853 Wol.
23%
20°C
$1,836 Wol.
45%
21°C
$1,980 Wol.
25%
22°C
$352 Wol.
4%
23°C or higher
$172 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a mild autumn pattern over central Poland, with a weak pressure gradient and light southwesterly flow supporting a daily maximum near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14. Light showers or variable cloud cover may temper peak heating but are unlikely to suppress temperatures below 18°C or allow a surge above 21°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21°C and 19°C. Historical mid-September averages for Warsaw hover around 16–18°C, making the current outlook slightly above normal. Final resolution will depend on official observations once the day concludes, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,326Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a mild autumn pattern over central Poland, with a weak pressure gradient and light southwesterly flow supporting a daily maximum near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14. Light showers or variable cloud cover may temper peak heating but are unlikely to suppress temperatures below 18°C or allow a surge above 21°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21°C and 19°C. Historical mid-September averages for Warsaw hover around 16–18°C, making the current outlook slightly above normal. Final resolution will depend on official observations once the day concludes, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,326Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate a mild autumn pattern over central Poland, with a weak pressure gradient and light southwesterly flow supporting a daily maximum near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 14. Light showers or variable cloud cover may temper peak heating but are unlikely to suppress temperatures below 18°C or allow a surge above 21°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21°C and 19°C. Historical mid-September averages for Warsaw hover around 16–18°C, making the current outlook slightly above normal. Final resolution will depend on official observations once the day concludes, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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