The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, forecast to deliver scattered thunderstorms and rain to Karachi on September 14, stands as the dominant driver of market odds. This monsoon remnant introduces variability in overnight cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation timing, which directly influences radiative cooling and the daily minimum. Recent model guidance shows nighttime lows clustered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, yet divergence in storm timing and intensity supports the near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes. Coastal sea surface temperatures near 29°C and persistently high humidity further limit sharp drops, while any clearer gaps could allow greater cooling toward seasonal norms around 26°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of the current trader uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
23°C or below 81%
33°C or higher 80%
27°C 40%
29°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
23°C or below
81%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
24%
28°C
29%
29°C
40%
30°C
40%
31°C
8%
32°C
40%
33°C or higher
80%
23°C or below 81%
33°C or higher 80%
27°C 40%
29°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
81%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
39%
26°C
$0 Wol.
21%
27°C
$5 Wol.
24%
28°C
$0 Wol.
29%
29°C
$0 Wol.
40%
30°C
$0 Wol.
40%
31°C
$0 Wol.
8%
32°C
$0 Wol.
40%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, forecast to deliver scattered thunderstorms and rain to Karachi on September 14, stands as the dominant driver of market odds. This monsoon remnant introduces variability in overnight cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation timing, which directly influences radiative cooling and the daily minimum. Recent model guidance shows nighttime lows clustered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, yet divergence in storm timing and intensity supports the near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes. Coastal sea surface temperatures near 29°C and persistently high humidity further limit sharp drops, while any clearer gaps could allow greater cooling toward seasonal norms around 26°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of the current trader uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, forecast to deliver scattered thunderstorms and rain to Karachi on September 14, stands as the dominant driver of market odds. This monsoon remnant introduces variability in overnight cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation timing, which directly influences radiative cooling and the daily minimum. Recent model guidance shows nighttime lows clustered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, yet divergence in storm timing and intensity supports the near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes. Coastal sea surface temperatures near 29°C and persistently high humidity further limit sharp drops, while any clearer gaps could allow greater cooling toward seasonal norms around 26°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of the current trader uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, forecast to deliver scattered thunderstorms and rain to Karachi on September 14, stands as the dominant driver of market odds. This monsoon remnant introduces variability in overnight cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation timing, which directly influences radiative cooling and the daily minimum. Recent model guidance shows nighttime lows clustered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, yet divergence in storm timing and intensity supports the near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes. Coastal sea surface temperatures near 29°C and persistently high humidity further limit sharp drops, while any clearer gaps could allow greater cooling toward seasonal norms around 26°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve much of the current trader uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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