Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will hold near 18 °C under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and mild Atlantic air, keeping radiational cooling limited and aligning with the market’s 95.5 % implied probability for that threshold. Historical September averages near 12 °C underscore how unusually warm the current pattern remains, driven by a blocking high that has suppressed cooler northerly flows. Traders appear to view significant downward revisions as unlikely absent an unexpected clear-sky window or sharper wind shift before dawn. Official Met Office observations released after midnight will provide the definitive reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 13?
Lowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 95%
17°C 13%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,430 Wol.
$10,430 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
13%
18°C
76%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
17°C 13%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,430 Wol.
$10,430 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$155 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$155 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$55 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$360 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$859 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$2,778 Wol.
13%
18°C
$2,661 Wol.
76%
19°C
$2,235 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$862 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$155 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$155 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will hold near 18 °C under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and mild Atlantic air, keeping radiational cooling limited and aligning with the market’s 95.5 % implied probability for that threshold. Historical September averages near 12 °C underscore how unusually warm the current pattern remains, driven by a blocking high that has suppressed cooler northerly flows. Traders appear to view significant downward revisions as unlikely absent an unexpected clear-sky window or sharper wind shift before dawn. Official Met Office observations released after midnight will provide the definitive reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,430Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will hold near 18 °C under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and mild Atlantic air, keeping radiational cooling limited and aligning with the market’s 95.5 % implied probability for that threshold. Historical September averages near 12 °C underscore how unusually warm the current pattern remains, driven by a blocking high that has suppressed cooler northerly flows. Traders appear to view significant downward revisions as unlikely absent an unexpected clear-sky window or sharper wind shift before dawn. Official Met Office observations released after midnight will provide the definitive reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,430Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London’s overnight minimum on September 13 will hold near 18 °C under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and mild Atlantic air, keeping radiational cooling limited and aligning with the market’s 95.5 % implied probability for that threshold. Historical September averages near 12 °C underscore how unusually warm the current pattern remains, driven by a blocking high that has suppressed cooler northerly flows. Traders appear to view significant downward revisions as unlikely absent an unexpected clear-sky window or sharper wind shift before dawn. Official Met Office observations released after midnight will provide the definitive reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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