Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 15 likely settling near 15–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight following mild daytime conditions. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (51%) and 15°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of current guidance over historical September averages near 11–12°C. A weakening rain band and gradual freshening winds may introduce modest variability, but consensus points to suppressed lows rather than sharp drops. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations, with model updates through the evening potentially refining probabilities ahead of the market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 15?
Lowest temperature in London on September 15?
16°C 51%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
23%
16°C
51%
17°C
17%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 51%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
12°C
$71 Wol.
1%
13°C
$110 Wol.
3%
14°C
$110 Wol.
5%
15°C
$780 Wol.
23%
16°C
$402 Wol.
51%
17°C
$325 Wol.
17%
18°C
$141 Wol.
2%
19°C
$184 Wol.
2%
20°C
$10 Wol.
1%
21°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 15 likely settling near 15–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight following mild daytime conditions. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (51%) and 15°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of current guidance over historical September averages near 11–12°C. A weakening rain band and gradual freshening winds may introduce modest variability, but consensus points to suppressed lows rather than sharp drops. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations, with model updates through the evening potentially refining probabilities ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,154Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 15 likely settling near 15–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight following mild daytime conditions. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (51%) and 15°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of current guidance over historical September averages near 11–12°C. A weakening rain band and gradual freshening winds may introduce modest variability, but consensus points to suppressed lows rather than sharp drops. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations, with model updates through the evening potentially refining probabilities ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,154Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 15 likely settling near 15–16°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight following mild daytime conditions. This setup aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 16°C (51%) and 15°C (21.5%), reflecting trader weighting of current guidance over historical September averages near 11–12°C. A weakening rain band and gradual freshening winds may introduce modest variability, but consensus points to suppressed lows rather than sharp drops. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations, with model updates through the evening potentially refining probabilities ahead of the market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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