Forecast models from sources including European meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 18, driven by light easterly flow, high humidity near 90% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C but reflects short-term variability from model runs showing potential 1–2°C spreads tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation. Trader balance between extremes (12°C or below and 22°C or higher) at equal implied probabilities likely stems from uncertainty in overnight stabilization versus any unexpected clear spells, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing the core forecast envelope ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 82%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
84%
13°C
16%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
39%
17°C
23%
18°C
27%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
82%
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 82%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
84%
13°C
$0 Wol.
16%
14°C
$0 Wol.
17%
15°C
$0 Wol.
18%
16°C
$0 Wol.
39%
17°C
$0 Wol.
23%
18°C
$0 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
38%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C
$0 Wol.
39%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including European meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 18, driven by light easterly flow, high humidity near 90% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C but reflects short-term variability from model runs showing potential 1–2°C spreads tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation. Trader balance between extremes (12°C or below and 22°C or higher) at equal implied probabilities likely stems from uncertainty in overnight stabilization versus any unexpected clear spells, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing the core forecast envelope ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including European meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 18, driven by light easterly flow, high humidity near 90% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C but reflects short-term variability from model runs showing potential 1–2°C spreads tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation. Trader balance between extremes (12°C or below and 22°C or higher) at equal implied probabilities likely stems from uncertainty in overnight stabilization versus any unexpected clear spells, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing the core forecast envelope ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including European meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 18, driven by light easterly flow, high humidity near 90% overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This consensus aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C but reflects short-term variability from model runs showing potential 1–2°C spreads tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation. Trader balance between extremes (12°C or below and 22°C or higher) at equal implied probabilities likely stems from uncertainty in overnight stabilization versus any unexpected clear spells, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing the core forecast envelope ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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