Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 6 centered near 11–13 °C under clearing skies and light northeast winds following daytime showers. Radiational cooling overnight will be the dominant driver, with clear conditions and dew points around 9–10 °C allowing temperatures to drop more efficiently than on the preceding rainy night. Slight variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution produce a narrow spread that places 8–11 °C outcomes in nearly equal contention, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
8°C 27%
9°C 25%
10°C 25%
11°C 24%
5°C or below
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
13%
8°C 27%
9°C 25%
10°C 25%
11°C 24%
5°C or below
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 6 centered near 11–13 °C under clearing skies and light northeast winds following daytime showers. Radiational cooling overnight will be the dominant driver, with clear conditions and dew points around 9–10 °C allowing temperatures to drop more efficiently than on the preceding rainy night. Slight variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution produce a narrow spread that places 8–11 °C outcomes in nearly equal contention, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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