Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Wol.
$23,687 Wol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Wol.
$23,687 Wol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$2,361 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,997 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,948 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,084 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,986 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$910 Wol.
No
17°C
$4,130 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,248 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,072 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,296 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$3,653 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,687Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,687Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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