Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows a continental airmass from northern China moving across the peninsula, driving Seoul’s overnight low on May 21 into the 12–15 °C range. This cooler advection, combined with light winds and partial cloud cover, favors the market’s leading 13 °C-or-below outcome at 41 % implied probability. Historical KMA records place late-May minima around 13–16 °C on average, with the current setup sitting near the cooler end of that climatological envelope. Any strengthening of the flow or delayed frontal passage could shift the minimum upward into the 15–17 °C band, where the next three buckets each carry roughly 20 % odds. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 21?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 21?
13°C or below 41%
14°C 21%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
May 21, 2026
13°C or below
41%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
19%
17°C
13%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C
13%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 41%
14°C 21%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
May 21, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Wol.
41%
14°C
$0 Wol.
21%
15°C
$0 Wol.
21%
16°C
$0 Wol.
19%
17°C
$0 Wol.
13%
18°C
$0 Wol.
16%
19°C
$0 Wol.
15%
20°C
$30 Wol.
13%
21°C
$30 Wol.
12%
22°C
$60 Wol.
6%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows a continental airmass from northern China moving across the peninsula, driving Seoul’s overnight low on May 21 into the 12–15 °C range. This cooler advection, combined with light winds and partial cloud cover, favors the market’s leading 13 °C-or-below outcome at 41 % implied probability. Historical KMA records place late-May minima around 13–16 °C on average, with the current setup sitting near the cooler end of that climatological envelope. Any strengthening of the flow or delayed frontal passage could shift the minimum upward into the 15–17 °C band, where the next three buckets each carry roughly 20 % odds. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$130Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows a continental airmass from northern China moving across the peninsula, driving Seoul’s overnight low on May 21 into the 12–15 °C range. This cooler advection, combined with light winds and partial cloud cover, favors the market’s leading 13 °C-or-below outcome at 41 % implied probability. Historical KMA records place late-May minima around 13–16 °C on average, with the current setup sitting near the cooler end of that climatological envelope. Any strengthening of the flow or delayed frontal passage could shift the minimum upward into the 15–17 °C band, where the next three buckets each carry roughly 20 % odds. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$130Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows a continental airmass from northern China moving across the peninsula, driving Seoul’s overnight low on May 21 into the 12–15 °C range. This cooler advection, combined with light winds and partial cloud cover, favors the market’s leading 13 °C-or-below outcome at 41 % implied probability. Historical KMA records place late-May minima around 13–16 °C on average, with the current setup sitting near the cooler end of that climatological envelope. Any strengthening of the flow or delayed frontal passage could shift the minimum upward into the 15–17 °C band, where the next three buckets each carry roughly 20 % odds. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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