Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on May 21, with the 73°F-or-below bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 41% because of expected clearer skies and lighter winds that could enhance radiational cooling. Persistent southeasterly flow and elevated dew points near 74°F have kept recent minima around 76–80°F, but any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover would favor the lower end of the distribution. NOAA forecasts show high temperatures near 85°F with minimal precipitation, limiting afternoon mixing that typically supports warmer nights. Traders are watching updated model runs for confirmation ahead of the May 21 resolution window at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on May 21?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 21?
73°F or below 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
80-81°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 21, 2026
73°F or below
41%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
6%
92°F or higher
1%
73°F or below 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
80-81°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 21, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Wol.
41%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
20%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
18%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
18%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
15%
88-89°F
$284 Wol.
6%
90-91°F
$285 Wol.
6%
92°F or higher
$64 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on May 21, with the 73°F-or-below bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 41% because of expected clearer skies and lighter winds that could enhance radiational cooling. Persistent southeasterly flow and elevated dew points near 74°F have kept recent minima around 76–80°F, but any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover would favor the lower end of the distribution. NOAA forecasts show high temperatures near 85°F with minimal precipitation, limiting afternoon mixing that typically supports warmer nights. Traders are watching updated model runs for confirmation ahead of the May 21 resolution window at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$628Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on May 21, with the 73°F-or-below bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 41% because of expected clearer skies and lighter winds that could enhance radiational cooling. Persistent southeasterly flow and elevated dew points near 74°F have kept recent minima around 76–80°F, but any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover would favor the lower end of the distribution. NOAA forecasts show high temperatures near 85°F with minimal precipitation, limiting afternoon mixing that typically supports warmer nights. Traders are watching updated model runs for confirmation ahead of the May 21 resolution window at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$628Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on May 21, with the 73°F-or-below bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 41% because of expected clearer skies and lighter winds that could enhance radiational cooling. Persistent southeasterly flow and elevated dew points near 74°F have kept recent minima around 76–80°F, but any shift toward drier air or reduced cloud cover would favor the lower end of the distribution. NOAA forecasts show high temperatures near 85°F with minimal precipitation, limiting afternoon mixing that typically supports warmer nights. Traders are watching updated model runs for confirmation ahead of the May 21 resolution window at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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