Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
73°F or below 7.7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
7%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
73°F or below 7.7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
$715 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$79 Wol.
27%
76-77°F
$39 Wol.
32%
78-79°F
$110 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$406 Wol.
19%
82-83°F
$410 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$557 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$544 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$779 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$657 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$4,051 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,348Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,348Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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