National Weather Service ensemble models and recent observational data point to Miami’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 78–81 °F, keeping the two leading market brackets tightly matched. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay near 80 °F, combined with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover, are moderating radiational cooling and creating a narrow range of possible minima. Dry subsiding air could push readings into the low 80s, while any increase in low-level moisture or brief showers would favor the upper 70s. Traders are weighing these short-term variables against Miami’s May climatology, where average overnight lows cluster around 74–77 °F but frequently reach the upper 70s under similar regimes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 17?
80-81°F 38%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 4.7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 4.7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$862 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$696 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$216 Wol.
25%
78-79°F
$136 Wol.
33%
80-81°F
$145 Wol.
40%
82-83°F
$459 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$910 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$360 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$587 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$3,040 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$923 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble models and recent observational data point to Miami’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 78–81 °F, keeping the two leading market brackets tightly matched. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay near 80 °F, combined with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover, are moderating radiational cooling and creating a narrow range of possible minima. Dry subsiding air could push readings into the low 80s, while any increase in low-level moisture or brief showers would favor the upper 70s. Traders are weighing these short-term variables against Miami’s May climatology, where average overnight lows cluster around 74–77 °F but frequently reach the upper 70s under similar regimes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,334Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble models and recent observational data point to Miami’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 78–81 °F, keeping the two leading market brackets tightly matched. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay near 80 °F, combined with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover, are moderating radiational cooling and creating a narrow range of possible minima. Dry subsiding air could push readings into the low 80s, while any increase in low-level moisture or brief showers would favor the upper 70s. Traders are weighing these short-term variables against Miami’s May climatology, where average overnight lows cluster around 74–77 °F but frequently reach the upper 70s under similar regimes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,334Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service ensemble models and recent observational data point to Miami’s overnight low on May 17 settling near 78–81 °F, keeping the two leading market brackets tightly matched. Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay near 80 °F, combined with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover, are moderating radiational cooling and creating a narrow range of possible minima. Dry subsiding air could push readings into the low 80s, while any increase in low-level moisture or brief showers would favor the upper 70s. Traders are weighing these short-term variables against Miami’s May climatology, where average overnight lows cluster around 74–77 °F but frequently reach the upper 70s under similar regimes. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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