Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a 26°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 13, aligning with the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August climatology in the Yangtze River delta features typical minimums near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow, with current runs showing no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy rainfall to depress readings further. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions through the period, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or localized convection could still trim the low by 1°C. Historical data place the average August minimum around 26°C, underscoring how tightly the current setup matches seasonal norms and why alternative outcomes below 25°C carry sharply reduced odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
26°C 92%
25°C 5%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
NOWE
$16,786 Wol.
NOWE
$16,786 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
92%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 92%
25°C 5%
24°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
NOWE
$16,786 Wol.
NOWE
$16,786 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
21°C or below
$454 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$559 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$415 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,045 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,926 Wol.
5%
26°C
$5,005 Wol.
92%
27°C
$4,472 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,454 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$310 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$445 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$702 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a 26°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 13, aligning with the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August climatology in the Yangtze River delta features typical minimums near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow, with current runs showing no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy rainfall to depress readings further. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions through the period, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or localized convection could still trim the low by 1°C. Historical data place the average August minimum around 26°C, underscoring how tightly the current setup matches seasonal norms and why alternative outcomes below 25°C carry sharply reduced odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,786Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a 26°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 13, aligning with the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August climatology in the Yangtze River delta features typical minimums near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow, with current runs showing no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy rainfall to depress readings further. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions through the period, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or localized convection could still trim the low by 1°C. Historical data place the average August minimum around 26°C, underscoring how tightly the current setup matches seasonal norms and why alternative outcomes below 25°C carry sharply reduced odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,786Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global forecasting systems points to a 26°C overnight low in Shanghai on August 13, aligning with the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August climatology in the Yangtze River delta features typical minimums near 26–27°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm, humid southerly flow, with current runs showing no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy rainfall to depress readings further. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions through the period, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or localized convection could still trim the low by 1°C. Historical data place the average August minimum around 26°C, underscoring how tightly the current setup matches seasonal norms and why alternative outcomes below 25°C carry sharply reduced odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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