**Forecast models from multiple sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional Chinese meteorological sites) indicate a minimum temperature for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** Overnight lows are expected around 26–28°C following daytime highs of 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover near 24–25°C but current patterns show slightly elevated readings due to warm, moist air masses. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values, with minor differences arising from cloud cover and rainfall timing—factors that could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C (50%) and 28°C (39%) because these align with the central tendency of available forecasts, while lower probabilities on 26°C or 25°C reflect smaller chances of clearer skies allowing greater radiative cooling. No major weather systems are expected to alter this outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 50%
28°C 39%
26°C 9%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
50%
28°C
39%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
28°C 39%
26°C 9%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$23 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Wol.
2%
24°C
$15 Wol.
4%
25°C
$75 Wol.
5%
26°C
$63 Wol.
9%
27°C
$284 Wol.
50%
28°C
$113 Wol.
39%
29°C
$67 Wol.
5%
30°C
$23 Wol.
1%
31°C
$5 Wol.
4%
32°C or higher
$39 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional Chinese meteorological sites) indicate a minimum temperature for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.**
Overnight lows are expected around 26–28°C following daytime highs of 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover near 24–25°C but current patterns show slightly elevated readings due to warm, moist air masses. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values, with minor differences arising from cloud cover and rainfall timing—factors that could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C (50%) and 28°C (39%) because these align with the central tendency of available forecasts, while lower probabilities on 26°C or 25°C reflect smaller chances of clearer skies allowing greater radiative cooling. No major weather systems are expected to alter this outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$710Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional Chinese meteorological sites) indicate a minimum temperature for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.**
Overnight lows are expected around 26–28°C following daytime highs of 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover near 24–25°C but current patterns show slightly elevated readings due to warm, moist air masses. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values, with minor differences arising from cloud cover and rainfall timing—factors that could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C (50%) and 28°C (39%) because these align with the central tendency of available forecasts, while lower probabilities on 26°C or 25°C reflect smaller chances of clearer skies allowing greater radiative cooling. No major weather systems are expected to alter this outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$710Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional Chinese meteorological sites) indicate a minimum temperature for Shanghai on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** Overnight lows are expected around 26–28°C following daytime highs of 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover near 24–25°C but current patterns show slightly elevated readings due to warm, moist air masses. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values, with minor differences arising from cloud cover and rainfall timing—factors that could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Trader-implied odds favor 27°C (50%) and 28°C (39%) because these align with the central tendency of available forecasts, while lower probabilities on 26°C or 25°C reflect smaller chances of clearer skies allowing greater radiative cooling. No major weather systems are expected to alter this outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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