Persistent late-summer conditions in Shanghai, including high humidity near 85-92%, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers, have kept overnight temperatures from dropping below 27°C according to official forecasts. Multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum of 27°C amid typical subtropical monsoon patterns, with minimal radiational cooling expected. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 97.9% implied probability for 27°C. A clear-sky break allowing stronger nighttime cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push the low to 26°C, though current model consensus and observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
26°C 4.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$18,662 Wol.
$18,662 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 4.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$18,662 Wol.
$18,662 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$2,534 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$4,431 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,530 Wol.
1%
26°C
$1,332 Wol.
5%
27°C
$3,583 Wol.
55%
28°C
$2,297 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$899 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$353 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$231 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$202 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$270 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer conditions in Shanghai, including high humidity near 85-92%, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers, have kept overnight temperatures from dropping below 27°C according to official forecasts. Multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum of 27°C amid typical subtropical monsoon patterns, with minimal radiational cooling expected. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 97.9% implied probability for 27°C. A clear-sky break allowing stronger nighttime cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push the low to 26°C, though current model consensus and observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,662Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer conditions in Shanghai, including high humidity near 85-92%, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers, have kept overnight temperatures from dropping below 27°C according to official forecasts. Multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum of 27°C amid typical subtropical monsoon patterns, with minimal radiational cooling expected. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 97.9% implied probability for 27°C. A clear-sky break allowing stronger nighttime cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push the low to 26°C, though current model consensus and observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,662Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-summer conditions in Shanghai, including high humidity near 85-92%, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers, have kept overnight temperatures from dropping below 27°C according to official forecasts. Multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum of 27°C amid typical subtropical monsoon patterns, with minimal radiational cooling expected. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 97.9% implied probability for 27°C. A clear-sky break allowing stronger nighttime cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push the low to 26°C, though current model consensus and observations make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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