**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome due to consistent forecast consensus from multiple models.** Overnight lows are projected around 27–28°C under persistent subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 85–94%), southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent hourly guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 27°C, while daytime highs reach 31–33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses prevent sharp nocturnal drops. Minor model spread accounts for the secondary probability on 28°C (21%), with lower odds on 25–26°C reflecting limited downside risk if additional cloud or rain enhances cooling. No significant synoptic changes—such as cold fronts or stronger winds—are expected before resolution, keeping the market anchored to the 27°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
76%
28°C
18%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
9%
26°C
$310 Wol.
3%
27°C
$856 Wol.
76%
28°C
$3,140 Wol.
18%
29°C
$68 Wol.
2%
30°C
$5 Wol.
1%
31°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$21 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome due to consistent forecast consensus from multiple models.** Overnight lows are projected around 27–28°C under persistent subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 85–94%), southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent hourly guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 27°C, while daytime highs reach 31–33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses prevent sharp nocturnal drops. Minor model spread accounts for the secondary probability on 28°C (21%), with lower odds on 25–26°C reflecting limited downside risk if additional cloud or rain enhances cooling. No significant synoptic changes—such as cold fronts or stronger winds—are expected before resolution, keeping the market anchored to the 27°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,419Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome due to consistent forecast consensus from multiple models.** Overnight lows are projected around 27–28°C under persistent subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 85–94%), southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent hourly guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 27°C, while daytime highs reach 31–33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses prevent sharp nocturnal drops. Minor model spread accounts for the secondary probability on 28°C (21%), with lower odds on 25–26°C reflecting limited downside risk if additional cloud or rain enhances cooling. No significant synoptic changes—such as cold fronts or stronger winds—are expected before resolution, keeping the market anchored to the 27°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,419Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 27°C (75.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome due to consistent forecast consensus from multiple models.** Overnight lows are projected around 27–28°C under persistent subtropical conditions, with high humidity (often 85–94%), southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent hourly guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 27°C, while daytime highs reach 31–33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses prevent sharp nocturnal drops. Minor model spread accounts for the secondary probability on 28°C (21%), with lower odds on 25–26°C reflecting limited downside risk if additional cloud or rain enhances cooling. No significant synoptic changes—such as cold fronts or stronger winds—are expected before resolution, keeping the market anchored to the 27°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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