Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 12 point to a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by residual humidity and sea breezes from the East China Sea, limits sharper drops, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon remnants keeps extremes unlikely. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C, aligning with current model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could adjust the floor by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
23°C 43%
24°C 42%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
15%
28°C or higher
12%
23°C 43%
24°C 42%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
15%
28°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 12 point to a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight, moderated by residual humidity and sea breezes from the East China Sea, limits sharper drops, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon remnants keeps extremes unlikely. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C, aligning with current model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could adjust the floor by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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