**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 56% implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds has driven temperatures down from daytime highs near 31°C, with dew points holding around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Typical September Mediterranean conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and moderating sea influence—align with historical lows of 23–25°C rather than cooler anomalies. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 24°C and 23°C outcomes against slight model spread on exact timing of the overnight minimum, while the 50% on 18°C or below reflects low but non-zero tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky enhancement or measurement variance at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
24°C 99%
23°C 20%
18°C or below 19%
19°C <1%
$575 Wol.
$575 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 99%
23°C 20%
18°C or below 19%
19°C <1%
$575 Wol.
$575 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Wol.
No
19°C
$60 Wol.
No
20°C
$60 Wol.
No
21°C
$60 Wol.
No
22°C
$107 Wol.
No
23°C
$68 Wol.
No
24°C
$130 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$70 Wol.
No
26°C
$0 Wol.
No
27°C
$0 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$15 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 56% implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds has driven temperatures down from daytime highs near 31°C, with dew points holding around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Typical September Mediterranean conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and moderating sea influence—align with historical lows of 23–25°C rather than cooler anomalies. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 24°C and 23°C outcomes against slight model spread on exact timing of the overnight minimum, while the 50% on 18°C or below reflects low but non-zero tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky enhancement or measurement variance at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$575Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 56% implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds has driven temperatures down from daytime highs near 31°C, with dew points holding around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Typical September Mediterranean conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and moderating sea influence—align with historical lows of 23–25°C rather than cooler anomalies. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 24°C and 23°C outcomes against slight model spread on exact timing of the overnight minimum, while the 50% on 18°C or below reflects low but non-zero tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky enhancement or measurement variance at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$575Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 56% implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds has driven temperatures down from daytime highs near 31°C, with dew points holding around 22–23°C limiting further drops. Typical September Mediterranean conditions—stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and moderating sea influence—align with historical lows of 23–25°C rather than cooler anomalies. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 24°C and 23°C outcomes against slight model spread on exact timing of the overnight minimum, while the 50% on 18°C or below reflects low but non-zero tail risk from any unexpected clear-sky enhancement or measurement variance at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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