Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 Wol.
$988 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 Wol.
$988 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
$45 Wol.
No
20°C
$0 Wol.
No
21°C
$0 Wol.
No
22°C
$59 Wol.
No
23°C
$25 Wol.
No
24°C
$82 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$174 Wol.
No
26°C
$559 Wol.
No
27°C
$15 Wol.
No
28°C
$15 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$15 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$988Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$988Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania