Wellington's minimum temperature on August 22 reflects typical late-winter maritime conditions in New Zealand's capital, where the ocean moderates extremes but southerly flows can deliver cooler air. Current forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate near-average temperatures, with overnight lows most likely settling between 8°C and 12°C amid variable winds and possible showers. Model consensus and recent observations support 12°C or 10°C as the day's recorded minimum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor these outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Seasonal outlooks emphasize equal chances of near- or below-average conditions without signals of an intense cold outbreak, keeping probabilities for 7°C or lower minimal while limiting upside above 13°C. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
10°C 37%
8°C 1%
7°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
-
10°C
37%
11°C
33%
12°C
62%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 37%
8°C 1%
7°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$302 Wol.
1%
8°C
$116 Wol.
1%
9°C
$62 Wol.
-
10°C
$115 Wol.
37%
11°C
$128 Wol.
33%
12°C
$226 Wol.
62%
13°C
$231 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$794 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$676 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$148 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$178 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 22 reflects typical late-winter maritime conditions in New Zealand's capital, where the ocean moderates extremes but southerly flows can deliver cooler air. Current forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate near-average temperatures, with overnight lows most likely settling between 8°C and 12°C amid variable winds and possible showers. Model consensus and recent observations support 12°C or 10°C as the day's recorded minimum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor these outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Seasonal outlooks emphasize equal chances of near- or below-average conditions without signals of an intense cold outbreak, keeping probabilities for 7°C or lower minimal while limiting upside above 13°C. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,975Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 22 reflects typical late-winter maritime conditions in New Zealand's capital, where the ocean moderates extremes but southerly flows can deliver cooler air. Current forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate near-average temperatures, with overnight lows most likely settling between 8°C and 12°C amid variable winds and possible showers. Model consensus and recent observations support 12°C or 10°C as the day's recorded minimum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor these outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Seasonal outlooks emphasize equal chances of near- or below-average conditions without signals of an intense cold outbreak, keeping probabilities for 7°C or lower minimal while limiting upside above 13°C. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,975Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's minimum temperature on August 22 reflects typical late-winter maritime conditions in New Zealand's capital, where the ocean moderates extremes but southerly flows can deliver cooler air. Current forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate near-average temperatures, with overnight lows most likely settling between 8°C and 12°C amid variable winds and possible showers. Model consensus and recent observations support 12°C or 10°C as the day's recorded minimum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor these outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Seasonal outlooks emphasize equal chances of near- or below-average conditions without signals of an intense cold outbreak, keeping probabilities for 7°C or lower minimal while limiting upside above 13°C. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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