Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and international models show Wellington's September 14 minimum likely falling between 7–10°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with northerly flows and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. Radiational cooling under light winds could push readings toward the lower end near 7°C, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger northerlies would limit drops and support values near 10°C or above. This narrow range and model divergence on exact wind shifts and nocturnal cloud explain the near-even split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of clear-sky cooling potential against the moderating springtime advection. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
4°C or below 93%
14°C or higher 93%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
93%
5°C
38%
6°C
20%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
93%
4°C or below 93%
14°C or higher 93%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
93%
5°C
$0 Wol.
38%
6°C
$0 Wol.
20%
7°C
$0 Wol.
22%
8°C
$0 Wol.
22%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
39%
13°C
$0 Wol.
39%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and international models show Wellington's September 14 minimum likely falling between 7–10°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with northerly flows and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. Radiational cooling under light winds could push readings toward the lower end near 7°C, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger northerlies would limit drops and support values near 10°C or above. This narrow range and model divergence on exact wind shifts and nocturnal cloud explain the near-even split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of clear-sky cooling potential against the moderating springtime advection. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and international models show Wellington's September 14 minimum likely falling between 7–10°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with northerly flows and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. Radiational cooling under light winds could push readings toward the lower end near 7°C, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger northerlies would limit drops and support values near 10°C or above. This narrow range and model divergence on exact wind shifts and nocturnal cloud explain the near-even split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of clear-sky cooling potential against the moderating springtime advection. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and international models show Wellington's September 14 minimum likely falling between 7–10°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with northerly flows and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. Radiational cooling under light winds could push readings toward the lower end near 7°C, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger northerlies would limit drops and support values near 10°C or above. This narrow range and model divergence on exact wind shifts and nocturnal cloud explain the near-even split between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of clear-sky cooling potential against the moderating springtime advection. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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